UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano – Shortcut Predictions for the Entire Card
I’m breaking protocol this time around: less pictures, stats, odds and… well, words. Here are my predictions for every fight at UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano, in five sentences or less per fight.
MAIN CARD—Pay-Per-View—10PM/7PM ET|PT
(C) “Rowdy” Ronda Rousey vs. #1 “Alpha” Cat Zingano – Were this to have occurred when it was originally scheduled two years ago, I’d have given Zingano a handier shot at dethroning the #7 pound-for-pound ranked women’s bantamweight champion. As it stands, while Rousey’s only gotten better–unlocking newfound crispness and power in her strikes to supplement her already formidable grappling offense–Zingano appears to have all of her strengths and weakness in the same place she left them before her horrible knee injury and family-related heartbreak. Yes, “Alpha” is as tough a cookie as they come—as is evident by her come-from-behind victories against Miesha Tate and Amanda Nunes—but answer me this: what happens when you take a slow-but-tough starter and smash her against the best and fastest starter in the game? Rousey def. Zingano by submission.
#12 “Rocky” Raquel Pennington vs. #13 Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm – This fight will answer a lot of questions regarding Holm, who at 33 years old and with a 33-2-3 boxing record now behind her cannot be referred to with a straight face as a “prospect.” Pennington is hard-headed, a game fighter and carries some name value, but unless she can get Holm to the ground—the area where the most questions regarding the Jackson-Winkeljohn pupil exist—her chances of winning are slim. Holm def. Pennington by unanimous decision.
#11 Jake “The Juggernaut” Ellenberger vs. Josh Koscheck – We’ll probably be seeing one of these two guys for the last time in the UFC this Saturday. Both men are on three-fight losing skids. Ellenberger is younger, bigger, faster and—though he actually has more fights than Kos—has sustained less damage in his career. His striking arsenal is also more diverse, so unless the TUF 1 alum reverts entirely to his wrestling bread-and-butter and “The Juggernaut” forgot how to wrestle entirely, this’ll be everyone’s favorite bleached-blonde heel’s UFC swan song. Ellenberger def. Koscheck by TKO.
Alan “Brahma” Jouban vs. “Filthy” Richard Walsh – This one’s tough to call. Both men have bumped their heads on what I’m sure each hope are flimsily-built ceilings in their last outing. The odds have Jouban set at an outrageous -400 to Walsh’s +330, however it’s Walsh whose skill set has proven more diverse—specifically in the grappling department. If the Aussie goes in with the right game plan, circumventing “Brahma’s” striking game in favor of a less exciting but more effective grappling approach, this could be the upset of the night. And even if he doesn’t, Walsh is versatile enough on his feet—both offensively and defensively—that he has a good chance at getting the better of the UFC’s handsomest welterweight. Walsh def. Jouban by split decision.
Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson vs. Gleison Tibau – It only makes sense that these two streaking lightweights collide on their way towards entry into the division’s top 10. It’s Ferguson’s opportunistic style vs. Tibau’s measured, steady approach. The veteran Tibau is savvy enough to not fall victim to “El Cucuy’s” aggressive guard and control the fight long enough to wear out the explosive TUF winner. Tibau def. Ferguson by UD.
PRELIMS—Fox Sports 1—8PM/5PM ET|PT
#13 Mark “The Filipino Wrecking Machine” Munoz vs. Roan “Jucao” Carneiro – How in the hell is Mark Munoz still a top 15 ranked middleweight? He’s facing Roan Carneiro, who we last saw winning the very entertaining BattleGrounds MMA 5: O.N.E. – One Night Elimination. Munoz def. Carneiro by SD.
Norifumi “Kid” Yamamoto vs. Roman “El Gallito” Salazar – Kid Yamamoto is still fighting? WHAT YEAR IS IT? Yamamoto def. Salazar by TKO.
Dhiego Lima vs. Tim “The Dirty Bird” Means – Lima def. Means by submission.
Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis vs. Ruan “Fangzz” Potts – Lewis def. Potts by KO.
EARLY PRELIMS—UFC Fight Pass—7PM/4PM ET|PT
“The” James Krause vs. Valmir “Bidu” Lazaro – Lazaro def. Krause by TKO.
Masio “Lobo” Fullen vs. Alex “Rolo” Torres – Fullen def. Torres by submission.
Hey… You’re still around? Thanks! If you have a little more time to spare, maybe consider checking out my most recent broadcast work, this time with the very talented Jeremy Lopez at:
- 10 Minute First Round, where Lopez and I talk in-depth about UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Mir, UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano and the first two months of 2015 in MMA and what we have to look forward to the rest of the year. (iTunes | Stitcher)
- Lopez Radio, where we discuss life, work, growing up, the role of the media, journalistic integrity, film, music, finding your pass ion and a slew of other topics. (iTunes | Stitcher)
Also, if you live in South Florida, I’ll be appearing tonight on 560 WQAM’s Fight Night with Alex Donno to discuss MMA with one of the best journalists in the biz.
Feel free to share any or all of those links with people who might be interested. And thank you for listening, reading or both.
A freelance MMA, entertainment and business journo born, raised and residing in Miami, FL, Jesse Scheckner is a former semi-serious musician, cinephile and recovering ne’er-do-well who still believes Mickey Rourke’s finest performance in film has yet to come. He isTuffGnarl.com‘s editor-in-chief and the 2014 MMA Media Correspondent winner at the Florida MMA Awards. Follow him on Twitter @JesseScheckner to talk about the stuff he writes about with him.
(Slider image credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports)
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